About The NBA King

The deepest NBA player-prop research tool โ€” every prop, every player, every night.

What you get

The NBA King projects every NBA player prop โ€” points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals, blocks and combos โ€” and shows that projection next to the posted line, the de-vigged market price and the recent hit rates, with a lean that describes which side the projection sits on. It does not publish an edge number, an EV number, a letter grade or a stake, and it does not publish a betting track record; the reason is in section 9 below. Around the board: interactive shot charts, possession-level lineups and on/off, advanced player profiles, matchups, standings, scores and box scores.

Playoff-aware. Each game's own type switches the playoff model on (the play-in and the playoffs), so the first Game 1s are priced as playoff games, not as a random January night. Props: a playoff projection runs at playoff pace (about 3% fewer possessions), drops the regular-season return-from-layoff haircut, and is then scaled by role, because playoff rotations shorten: heavy-minute starters hold or gain a little, bench players lose a lot (a 12-20 minute reserve's points are scaled down a further 24% until his 2nd playoff game, and about 9% once his own playoff games anchor the projection, from his 2nd playoff game on). Game cards: playoff and play-in totals are projected 8.4 points lower (10.2 in Games 6 and 7), half off each side; the spread and the win probability do not change. Both were fitted on earlier postseasons and tested on 13 later ones (2013-14 to 2025-26): prop and total errors fell in almost every one. Regular-season numbers are untouched. Watch for the ๐Ÿ† Playoff mode badge on the Board.

How to read it

The track record

Every pick is logged before tip and graded after the game โ€” win or lose โ€” on the page (record, ROI and closing-line value). It's live and growing; read it small-sample-aware while it builds. Beating the close over the long run is the only honest test, and we hold ourselves to it in public.

For entertainment and informational purposes only. Nothing here is a guarantee. 21+. Please bet responsibly โ€” if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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